Week 12 of 34
What an early call looks like
The same job seven weeks after the flag above, in the week a month-end pack would first have
shown it: two flags, one about cost, one about time, each with the arithmetic that produced it —
the drivers named, and a probability behind the call.
Week 5Cost performance slips to 0.98 → the forecast crosses budget
Week 6PM walks the job and confirms the driver
Week 8Change order raised, crew resequenced
Week 12The month-end pack catches it — seven weeks later
1The job, as the ledger has itJ-1104 · Riverside Apartments
Contract$4,000,000
Budgeted cost$3,520,000
Cost to date$1,230,000
Work complete30%
Schedule complete24%
Spend, last 3 months$690,000
2What the layer works out from it
CPI0.86paying 16% more than the work is worth
Forecast at completion$4,100,000against a $3,520,000 budget
Exposure$580,000forecast overrun on this job
Schedule slip3 weeksfour activities past their finish date
Caught in week 5, that is a conversation — resequence the trades, chase the change order,
put the crew somewhere else. The month-end pack shows it in week 12, by which point another
$959,000 has gone out of the door.